課程大綱

課程資訊

課程名稱

人口與經濟成長:量化分析
Demography and Economic Growth: A Quantitative Analysis

開課學期

109-2

授課對象

社會科學院經濟學研究所

授課教師

廖珮如

課號

ECON7208

課程識別碼

323 M4310

班次

學分

3.0

全/半年

半年

必/選修

選修

上課時間

星期一2,3,4(9:10~12:10)

上課地點

社科研608

備註

限碩士班以上或限博士班
總人數上限：15人

Ceiba 課程網頁

http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/1092ECON7208_

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課程概述

This course will introduce the role of demographic transition in economic growth. Specifically, two parts will be included. First, we will begin with the contribution of demographic dividends to economic growth. The second part of this course will focus on the economic problems caused by population aging and possible policies.

To study the aforementioned topics, the demographic statistics of global trends and country features will be investigated first. Then, theoretical and empirical studies in the literature will be explored. Dynamic programming and recursive competitive equilibrium are the tools that we will review in class. Simple computational methods for analyzing these models also will be introduced. The goal is to master the basic theory and methods so that, by the end of this course, students are capable of reading the literature and analyzing related issues.

課程目標

By the end of the semester, students are capable of (1) obtaining a big picture of global demographic transition; (2) reading demographic literature; and (3) quantitatively analyzing demographic issues.

課程要求

Grading:
Grades for this course will be determined by the following scheme: Oral presentations 50% and a quantitative term paper 50%. The details on the grading will be discussed in the first week of this course.

Term Paper:
Each student who enrolls in this course should submit a term paper at the end of the semester. The term paper CANNOT be collaborated. At the beginning of the semester, each student chooses a country as his/her target. The purpose of the term paper is to study interesting population policies or population problems in the target country. The deadline of submitting the term paper is at 11:59 PM (midnight) of June 21, 2021 (sent by email).

**Students who are in Econ department:
The term paper should be consisting of demographic statistics in the target country, a theoretical model, and a simple quantitative analysis. Students will get extra points if they also include an empirical analysis with regressions in their term papers.

**Students who are from other departments:
The term paper style for Econ students is preferred but not required. The requirements on the term paper are demographic statistics in the target country, an empirical regression model, and empirical analyses. Students will get extra points if a theoretical model is also included to support the empirical results in the term paper.

Presentation:
The purpose of the presentation is to discuss the progress of students’ term papers. There are FIVE presentations: 10-15 minutes per student for the first three and 30 minutes per student for the last two. In the first presentation, students have to show the target country’s demography. The second presentation focuses on interesting population policies or problems in the target country. Then the interesting questions should be modeled in the third presentation. Calibration results should be presented in the fourth presentation. The last presentation is for students to present their term papers, including the targeted country’s demography, the focus of the term paper, the model, and the quantitative results.

預期每週課後學習時數

Office Hours

另約時間備註： by appointment

指定閱讀

see the list in the syllabus

參考書目

see the list in the syllabus

評量方式
(僅供參考)

No.	項目	百分比	說明
1.	Term paper	50%
2.	Oral presentations	50%

課程進度

週次	日期	單元主題
第1週	2/22	Introduction Demographic transition around the world
第2週	3/1	Holiday
第3週	3/8	Impacts of demographic transition to an economy: empirical evidence Impacts of demographic transition to an economy: theoretical analysis
第4週	3/15	Students’ presentation 1 Impacts of demographic transition to an economy: theoretical analysis
第5週	3/22	*Impacts of demographic transition to an economy: quantitative analysis
第6週	3/29	*Global trend of population aging
第7週	4/5	Holiday
第8週	4/12	Students’ presentation 2 Problems caused by population aging
第9週	4/19	*Impacts of population aging
第10週	4/26	*Students’ presentation 3
第11週	5/3	*Impacts of population aging
第12週	5/10	*Policies on population aging
第13週	5/17	*Policies on population aging
第14週	5/24	*Students’ presentation 4
第15週	5/31	*Policies on population aging
第16週	6/7	*Students’ presentation 5 (for the term paper)
第17週	6/14	Holiday (5/3補課內容)
第18週	6/21	*Submission for the term paper (no class)